If I show up at 11am on Thursday, July 10th at the Lone Pine permit office, what are my chances of receiving a one day permit for the MW Main Trail the following day, Friday, July 11th?
Only the cancellations become available at 11 am. You have to wait until 2 pm for the no-shows to become available. Either way, the odds are excellent that you will get a permit when you show up at the
Visitors Center.
If you are that concerned about avilalbility, try calling the
wilderness permit office on Tuesday or Wednesday to see if there are any cancellations avilable (see <- WP Options Step 5). Of course, you would have to pay $15 to make a reservation, but that is only equivalent to 3 gallons of gasoline these days.